In the age of the unprecedented Explanation is reduced to �unprecedented circumstances� (rather than unpreparedness)?. Unprecedented means �not the same as the past� and in those conditions �risk� is no longer (Knightian) risk, but becomes �uncertainty� (Knight ,1923) ? Strategic Foresight is a means of exploring futures as if they will not be the same as the past. Its purpose is to prepare for novelty, and to guide actions that have effect on the future.