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Are we living in a time of particularly rapid social change? And how might we know?

journal contribution
posted on 2023-10-29, 17:00 authored by Donncha Kavanagh, Geoff Lightfoot, Simon LilleySimon Lilley
<p>n an editorial for this journal a decade ago, then-Editor-in-Chief Fred Phillips asserted that social change was proceeding at hyper-speed and, moreover, that it had consequently come to outpace technological change. This paper submits these claims to empirical assay. In so doing, we address the myriad problems attendant upon determining and interpreting the sort of data that might support us in our cause. Notwithstanding the innu?merable caveats that this necessarily entails, and restricting ourselves to considering US data, we conclude that a wide range of indicators suggest that millennial Americans are not living in a time of particularly rapid social change, at least not when compared to the period 1900–1950. Furthermore, our analysis suggests that the data that we have considered does not easily support a contention that significant variation in social change occurs in long wave-like cycles. The evidence is more supportive of a punctuated equilibrium model of change.</p>

History

School affiliated with

  • Department of Management (Research Outputs)

Publication Title

Technological Forecasting & Social Change

Volume

169

Publisher

Elsevier

ISSN

0040-1625

eISSN

1873-5509

Date Submitted

2021-10-05

Date Accepted

2021-04-30

Date of First Publication

2021-05-18

Date of Final Publication

2021-08-31

Date Document First Uploaded

2021-10-05

ePrints ID

46581

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