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Greenland summer blocking characteristics: an evaluation of a high-resolution multi-model ensemble

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posted on 2024-11-28, 12:55 authored by Linh LuuLinh Luu, Edward HannaEdward Hanna, Dilkushi de Alwis Pitts, Jacob Maddison, James A. Screen, Jennifer L. Catto, Xavier Fettweis

 Atmospheric blocking is a phenomenon that can lead to extreme weather events over a large region, yet its causes are not fully understood. Global climate models show limitations in representing Northern Hemisphere blocking, especially its frequency, and decadal variability in Greenland blocking in summer in the recent decades. In this study we evaluate the ability of high-resolution (HighResMIP) Earth System Models (ESMs) to simulate summer blocking over the Greenland area, using different but complementary methods to describe the characteristics of blocking. We find that the HighResMIP ensemble can reproduce the spatial pattern of Greenland blocking events, albeit with systematic biases, and capture the relative frequencies of the main blocking patterns: namely the wave breaking structure, North Atlantic ridge, and omega-type blocking. However, the HighResMIP ensemble fails to simulate the observed temporal variations of Greenland blocking index (GB2) and the extremely high values of daily GB2 observed in recent decades. In addition, we do not find clearly superior representation of blocking features from higher-resolution in HighResMIP models compared with lower-resolution models. We also find large sea surface temperature (SST) biases over the North Atlantic and seas surrounding Greenland, and biases in moisture transport over the North Atlantic toward Greenland, especially over the western flank of blocking areas, which might together contribute to model biases in the representation of blocking magnitude. 

Funding

Causes and impacts of Greenland atmospheric Blocking changes

Natural Environment Research Council

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History

School affiliated with

  • Department of Geography (Research Outputs)

Publication Title

Climate Dynamics

Volume

62

Issue

12

Pages/Article Number

10503–10523

Publisher

Springer

ISSN

0930-7575

eISSN

1432-0894

Date Submitted

2024-03-04

Date Accepted

2024-09-20

Date of First Publication

2024-10-16

Date of Final Publication

2024-12-01

Open Access Status

  • Open Access

Publisher statement

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attri?bution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adapta?tion, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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